Answer
Verdict
Strong consensus for
Transdermal estrogen carries a lower clot risk than oral estrogen.
20 sources: 18 positive, 2 negative
By Arun AgrahriLast reviewed
Short answer
Yes, for clot risk. Wherever a preference is stated, it is transdermal: a patch, a gel or a spray. Estradiol through the skin skips the liver first-pass that drives oral estrogen's clot risk (VTE, stroke) and gallbladder risk. It is paired with micronized progesterone if you have a uterus. Route is your clinician's call.
Hormone therapy around menopause does more good than harm for most women.
The verdict on HRT & Menopause overall. 12 sources: 4 positive, 8 partly
positive partly neutral negative Each researcher and each study counts once per claim, however often they come up.
Transdermal estrogen carries a lower clot risk than oral estrogen.
20 sources: 18 positive, 2 negative.
Researchers say
3 positive
Dr. Mary Claire Haver, 3 mentions on this claim
Positive Video
on Huberman Lab, at 34:20 · positive
“transdermal has less risk of blood clots versus oral has a higher risk of blood clot”
on Huberman Lab, at 1:21:26 · positive
“for that reason I tend to go with the non-oral formulations to avoid that risk”
on The Diary Of A CEO, at 52:47 · positive
“then we bypass the liver and we don't have the increased risk of clotting”
Cynthia Guyer, on The Dr. Hyman Show, at 18:33
Positive Video · Opinion
Open the tape at 18:33 →“you're not going to have those same risks for clotting”
Gayatri Devi, on The Drive, at 1:49:49
Positive Video · Opinion
Open the tape at 1:49:49 →“lower risk in my in my um for me the big consideration is lower risk of uh uh strokes and um uh Venus clots.”
Studies show
15 positive, 2 negative
16 papers we read · 1 cited on tape, not yet checked against the paper
KEEPS, cited on The Drive, at 1:21:17
Positive Study
Open the tape at 1:21:17 →“there's a slight increase of blood clots, right, with with oral estrogen”
Trial or observed group, Lancet, 2003, PMID 12927428
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Estimated risk for VTE in current users of oral ERT compared with transdermal ERT users was 4.0 (1.9-8.3).
Trial or observed group, Circulation, 2005, PMID 16301339
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Oral but not transdermal estrogen was associated with an increased risk of VTE (odds ratio [OR], 4.3; 95% CI, 2.6 to 7.2; and OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.8 to 1.7, respectively).
Trial or observed group, J Thromb Haemost, 2006, PMID 16706969
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Oral, not transdermal, estrogen was associated with an increased VTE risk (OR = 4.5; 95% CI: 2.6-7.7 and OR = 1.1; 95% CI: 0.7-1.7, respectively).
Trial or observed group, Circulation, 2007, PMID 17309934
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Oral but not transdermal estrogen is associated with an increased VTE risk.
Other primary study, Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, 2010, PMID 19834106
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Oral not transdermal estrogens were associated with increased thrombotic risk (HR=1.7; 95% CI: 1.1 to 2.8 and HR=1.1; 95% CI: 0.8 to 1.8; homogeneity: P=0.01).
Other primary study, J Thromb Haemost, 2010, PMID 20230416
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →The risk of VTE was not increased with current use of transdermal estrogen alone (RR 1.01; 95% CI, 0.89-1.16) or combined with a progestogen (RR 0.96; 95% CI, 0.77-1.20), or with current use of tibolone (RR 0.92; 95% CI: 0.77-1.10), relative to non-use.
Other primary study, Menopause, 2011, PMID 21178641
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Oral but not transdermal estrogens are associated with a higher risk of recurrent VTE among postmenopausal women.
Other primary study, Menopause, 2011, PMID 21775912
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →After adjustment for confounding factors, the incidence of venous thromboembolism remained significantly lower for estradiol transdermal system users than for estrogen-only hormone therapy users.
Other primary study, J Thromb Haemost, 2012, PMID 22963114
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →RRs in current vs. never users at last reporting varied by HT formulation: the risk was significantly greater for oral estrogen-progestin than oral estrogen-only therapy (RR = 2.07 [95%CI, 1.86-2.31] vs. 1.42 [1.21-1.66]), with no increased risk with transdermal estrogen-only therapy (0.82 [0.64-1.06]).
Trial or observed group, J Thromb Haemost, 2013, PMID 23136837
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Non-oral HT did not increase the risk of VT: OR 1.1 (0.6-1.8).
Trial or observed group, BMJ, 2019, PMID 30626577
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Use of oral preparations was associated with a significantly increased VTE risk (1.58, 1.52 to 1.64), whereas transdermal HRT was not associated with VTE risk (0.93, 0.87 to 1.01; table 2 ).
Other primary study, Climacteric, 2022, PMID 36218141
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →The risk of PE was significantly increased in users of oral but not transdermal MHT, with the highest risk in first ever users of oral estrogen combined with medroxyprogesterone acetate.
Other primary study, Res Pract Thromb Haemost, 2023, PMID 37193125
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →In a comparison between oral and transdermal exposures ( Table 4 shows direct comparisons between treatments), the ORs for oral exposures were almost twice as high as transdermal exposures (estrogen-only OR = 1.90; 95% CI, 1.56-2.32; combined therapy OR = 1.92; 95% CI, 1.43-2.60).
Other primary study, BMJ, 2026, PMID 42778212
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →No increased thrombotic risks were observed with transdermal therapy.
Other primary study, Menopause, 2021, PMID 34313612
Negative Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Our study among women Veterans did not confirm previously observed differences in the risk of VTE associated with HT, comparing oral CEE, oral E2 and transdermal E2.
Other primary study, BMJ, 1997, PMID 9081000
Negative Study
Read the paper on PubMed →No major risk differences were observed between users of low and high doses of oestrogens, unopposed and opposed treatment, and oral and transdermal preparations.
Dr. Mary Claire Haver Video · positive · 3 mentions
on Huberman Lab, at 34:20 · positive · Opinion
“transdermal has less risk of blood clots versus oral has a higher risk of blood clot”
on Huberman Lab, at 1:21:26 · positive · Opinion
“for that reason I tend to go with the non-oral formulations to avoid that risk”
on The Diary Of A CEO, at 52:47 · positive · Opinion
“then we bypass the liver and we don't have the increased risk of clotting”
Cynthia Guyer, on The Dr. Hyman Show, at 18:33 Video · positive · Opinion
“you're not going to have those same risks for clotting”
Gayatri Devi, on The Drive, at 1:49:49 Video · positive · Opinion
“lower risk in my in my um for me the big consideration is lower risk of uh uh strokes and um uh Venus clots.”
KEEPS, cited on The Drive, at 1:21:17 Study · positive
“there's a slight increase of blood clots, right, with with oral estrogen”
Trial or observed group, Lancet, 2003, PMID 12927428 Study · positive
Estimated risk for VTE in current users of oral ERT compared with transdermal ERT users was 4.0 (1.9-8.3).
Trial or observed group, Circulation, 2005, PMID 16301339 Study · positive
Oral but not transdermal estrogen was associated with an increased risk of VTE (odds ratio [OR], 4.3; 95% CI, 2.6 to 7.2; and OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.8 to 1.7, respectively).
Trial or observed group, J Thromb Haemost, 2006, PMID 16706969 Study · positive
Oral, not transdermal, estrogen was associated with an increased VTE risk (OR = 4.5; 95% CI: 2.6-7.7 and OR = 1.1; 95% CI: 0.7-1.7, respectively).
Trial or observed group, Circulation, 2007, PMID 17309934 Study · positive
Oral but not transdermal estrogen is associated with an increased VTE risk.
Other primary study, Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, 2010, PMID 19834106 Study · positive
Oral not transdermal estrogens were associated with increased thrombotic risk (HR=1.7; 95% CI: 1.1 to 2.8 and HR=1.1; 95% CI: 0.8 to 1.8; homogeneity: P=0.01).
Other primary study, J Thromb Haemost, 2010, PMID 20230416 Study · positive
The risk of VTE was not increased with current use of transdermal estrogen alone (RR 1.01; 95% CI, 0.89-1.16) or combined with a progestogen (RR 0.96; 95% CI, 0.77-1.20), or with current use of tibolone (RR 0.92; 95% CI: 0.77-1.10), relative to non-use.
Other primary study, Menopause, 2011, PMID 21178641 Study · positive
Oral but not transdermal estrogens are associated with a higher risk of recurrent VTE among postmenopausal women.
Other primary study, Menopause, 2011, PMID 21775912 Study · positive
After adjustment for confounding factors, the incidence of venous thromboembolism remained significantly lower for estradiol transdermal system users than for estrogen-only hormone therapy users.
Other primary study, J Thromb Haemost, 2012, PMID 22963114 Study · positive
RRs in current vs. never users at last reporting varied by HT formulation: the risk was significantly greater for oral estrogen-progestin than oral estrogen-only therapy (RR = 2.07 [95%CI, 1.86-2.31] vs. 1.42 [1.21-1.66]), with no increased risk with transdermal estrogen-only therapy (0.82 [0.64-1.06]).
Trial or observed group, J Thromb Haemost, 2013, PMID 23136837 Study · positive
Non-oral HT did not increase the risk of VT: OR 1.1 (0.6-1.8).
Trial or observed group, BMJ, 2019, PMID 30626577 Study · positive
Use of oral preparations was associated with a significantly increased VTE risk (1.58, 1.52 to 1.64), whereas transdermal HRT was not associated with VTE risk (0.93, 0.87 to 1.01; table 2 ).
Other primary study, Climacteric, 2022, PMID 36218141 Study · positive
The risk of PE was significantly increased in users of oral but not transdermal MHT, with the highest risk in first ever users of oral estrogen combined with medroxyprogesterone acetate.
Other primary study, Res Pract Thromb Haemost, 2023, PMID 37193125 Study · positive
In a comparison between oral and transdermal exposures ( Table 4 shows direct comparisons between treatments), the ORs for oral exposures were almost twice as high as transdermal exposures (estrogen-only OR = 1.90; 95% CI, 1.56-2.32; combined therapy OR = 1.92; 95% CI, 1.43-2.60).
Other primary study, BMJ, 2026, PMID 42778212 Study · positive
No increased thrombotic risks were observed with transdermal therapy.
Other primary study, Menopause, 2021, PMID 34313612 Study · negative
Our study among women Veterans did not confirm previously observed differences in the risk of VTE associated with HT, comparing oral CEE, oral E2 and transdermal E2.
Other primary study, BMJ, 1997, PMID 9081000 Study · negative
No major risk differences were observed between users of low and high doses of oestrogens, unopposed and opposed treatment, and oral and transdermal preparations.
Transdermal estrogen carries a lower clot risk than oral estrogen.
Researchers
Dr. Mary Claire Haver, 3 mentions on this claim
Positive Video
on Huberman Lab, at 34:20 · positive
“transdermal has less risk of blood clots versus oral has a higher risk of blood clot”
on Huberman Lab, at 1:21:26 · positive
“for that reason I tend to go with the non-oral formulations to avoid that risk”
on The Diary Of A CEO, at 52:47 · positive
“then we bypass the liver and we don't have the increased risk of clotting”
Cynthia Guyer, on The Dr. Hyman Show, at 18:33
Positive Video · Opinion
Open the tape at 18:33 →“you're not going to have those same risks for clotting”
Gayatri Devi, on The Drive, at 1:49:49
Positive Video · Opinion
Open the tape at 1:49:49 →“lower risk in my in my um for me the big consideration is lower risk of uh uh strokes and um uh Venus clots.”
Studies
KEEPS, cited on The Drive, at 1:21:17
Positive Study
Open the tape at 1:21:17 →“there's a slight increase of blood clots, right, with with oral estrogen”
Trial or observed group, Lancet, 2003, PMID 12927428
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Estimated risk for VTE in current users of oral ERT compared with transdermal ERT users was 4.0 (1.9-8.3).
Trial or observed group, Circulation, 2005, PMID 16301339
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Oral but not transdermal estrogen was associated with an increased risk of VTE (odds ratio [OR], 4.3; 95% CI, 2.6 to 7.2; and OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.8 to 1.7, respectively).
Trial or observed group, J Thromb Haemost, 2006, PMID 16706969
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Oral, not transdermal, estrogen was associated with an increased VTE risk (OR = 4.5; 95% CI: 2.6-7.7 and OR = 1.1; 95% CI: 0.7-1.7, respectively).
Trial or observed group, Circulation, 2007, PMID 17309934
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Oral but not transdermal estrogen is associated with an increased VTE risk.
Other primary study, Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, 2010, PMID 19834106
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Oral not transdermal estrogens were associated with increased thrombotic risk (HR=1.7; 95% CI: 1.1 to 2.8 and HR=1.1; 95% CI: 0.8 to 1.8; homogeneity: P=0.01).
Other primary study, J Thromb Haemost, 2010, PMID 20230416
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →The risk of VTE was not increased with current use of transdermal estrogen alone (RR 1.01; 95% CI, 0.89-1.16) or combined with a progestogen (RR 0.96; 95% CI, 0.77-1.20), or with current use of tibolone (RR 0.92; 95% CI: 0.77-1.10), relative to non-use.
Other primary study, Menopause, 2011, PMID 21178641
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Oral but not transdermal estrogens are associated with a higher risk of recurrent VTE among postmenopausal women.
Other primary study, Menopause, 2011, PMID 21775912
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →After adjustment for confounding factors, the incidence of venous thromboembolism remained significantly lower for estradiol transdermal system users than for estrogen-only hormone therapy users.
Other primary study, J Thromb Haemost, 2012, PMID 22963114
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →RRs in current vs. never users at last reporting varied by HT formulation: the risk was significantly greater for oral estrogen-progestin than oral estrogen-only therapy (RR = 2.07 [95%CI, 1.86-2.31] vs. 1.42 [1.21-1.66]), with no increased risk with transdermal estrogen-only therapy (0.82 [0.64-1.06]).
Trial or observed group, J Thromb Haemost, 2013, PMID 23136837
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Non-oral HT did not increase the risk of VT: OR 1.1 (0.6-1.8).
Trial or observed group, BMJ, 2019, PMID 30626577
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Use of oral preparations was associated with a significantly increased VTE risk (1.58, 1.52 to 1.64), whereas transdermal HRT was not associated with VTE risk (0.93, 0.87 to 1.01; table 2 ).
Other primary study, Climacteric, 2022, PMID 36218141
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →The risk of PE was significantly increased in users of oral but not transdermal MHT, with the highest risk in first ever users of oral estrogen combined with medroxyprogesterone acetate.
Other primary study, Res Pract Thromb Haemost, 2023, PMID 37193125
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →In a comparison between oral and transdermal exposures ( Table 4 shows direct comparisons between treatments), the ORs for oral exposures were almost twice as high as transdermal exposures (estrogen-only OR = 1.90; 95% CI, 1.56-2.32; combined therapy OR = 1.92; 95% CI, 1.43-2.60).
Other primary study, BMJ, 2026, PMID 42778212
Positive Study
Read the paper on PubMed →No increased thrombotic risks were observed with transdermal therapy.
Other primary study, Menopause, 2021, PMID 34313612
Negative Study
Read the paper on PubMed →Our study among women Veterans did not confirm previously observed differences in the risk of VTE associated with HT, comparing oral CEE, oral E2 and transdermal E2.
Other primary study, BMJ, 1997, PMID 9081000
Negative Study
Read the paper on PubMed →No major risk differences were observed between users of low and high doses of oestrogens, unopposed and opposed treatment, and oral and transdermal preparations.
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Transdermal estrogen carries a lower clot risk than oral estrogen. Wherever a preference is stated, it points the same way: a patch, a gel or a spray rather than a tablet. The reason is mechanical.
A pill goes through the gut and hits the liver first. That first pass raises clotting factors, and it ties oral estrogen to venous thromboembolism (VTE, a blood clot in a vein), stroke and gallbladder disease.
Estradiol on the skin skips most of that first pass, and clot risk falls with it. Peter Attia describes the modern approach as an estradiol patch, paired with micronized progesterone or a progesterone IUD if you still have a uterus. Mark Hyman picks skin delivery over oral to cut inflammation and clot risk, and bioidentical estradiol over the older Premarin/Provera pairing.
Mary Claire Haver, a guest on Andrew Huberman's show, is explicit that the patch carries less clot risk than the pill.
If you have a uterus, systemic estrogen comes with progesterone to protect the uterine lining. That is why the FDA kept its endometrial-cancer warning on systemic estrogen-only therapy. Also be careful with products sold next to real HRT, such as anti-aging hormone schemes with no trial behind them.
Views differ on compounded hormones and saliva testing: Hyman uses saliva tests and compounded creams in his own practice. See a qualified menopause specialist.
Route, formulation and dose are your doctor's call. This page explains why the patch usually wins; it is not a prescription.
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